Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.186617 0.214556 0.246386 0.285571 0.332840 0.388438 0.459393
2025-06-08 0.140619 0.175519 0.219677 0.280642 0.364224 0.477235 0.645960
2025-06-15 0.118037 0.156505 0.209164 0.288668 0.409646 0.593927 0.911089
2025-06-22 0.099353 0.137655 0.193228 0.283053 0.431453 0.680752 1.165885
2025-06-29 0.087850 0.126343 0.185056 0.285827 0.465190 0.795475 1.520600
2025-07-06 0.077789 0.115289 0.174862 0.282346 0.486214 0.893225 1.891618
2025-07-13 0.071418 0.108896 0.170794 0.288026 0.524893 1.038609 2.457449
2025-07-20 0.066320 0.103760 0.167824 0.294766 0.567145 1.207796 3.205844
2025-07-27 0.061911 0.099135 0.164919 0.300824 0.609473 1.394979 4.167079
2025-08-03 0.058392 0.095571 0.163327 0.309068 0.659124 1.624238 5.508918
2025-08-10 0.054679 0.091195 0.159529 0.311807 0.696336 1.837362 7.050403
2025-08-17 0.051267 0.086972 0.155426 0.313034 0.730180 2.058898 8.958199
2025-08-24 0.047824 0.082407 0.150202 0.311114 0.756405 2.275846 11.263545
2025-08-31 0.044441 0.077632 0.143991 0.305826 0.772101 2.468010 13.853580
2025-09-07 0.042629 0.075742 0.143588 0.314816 0.834361 2.889854 19.349286
2025-09-14 0.039797 0.071534 0.137664 0.308574 0.846416 3.107746 23.828611
2025-09-21 0.037934 0.069122 0.135412 0.311668 0.891386 3.519960 32.267665
2025-09-28 0.035764 0.065875 0.130902 0.307792 0.910969 3.824345 41.109009
2025-10-05 0.034446 0.064302 0.130057 0.314118 0.971198 4.417678 59.323633
2025-10-12 0.033295 0.062975 0.129632 0.321630 1.039778 5.146647 89.077107
2025-10-19 0.032177 0.061621 0.128978 0.328386 1.108908 5.977197 136.766726
2025-10-26 0.031258 0.060623 0.129083 0.337586 1.193676 7.061601 226.132069
2025-11-02 0.030092 0.058972 0.127362 0.340644 1.252591 8.041379 357.283497